Port Adelaide Lion vs MetroStars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
51.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Adelaide Lion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 4
PAL
24%
22%
55%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 4
WAD
11%
19%
70%
|
25 | 60 | 35 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
SAP
2 - 2
PAL
19%
21%
61%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 0
WHI
64%
18%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
ADE
1 - 1
PAL
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ADE
1 - 0
NEM
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
NEM
3 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
WAD
1 - 1
NEM
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SAP
1 - 4
NEM
12%
17%
71%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
WHI
3 - 3
NEM
17%
19%
64%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |