Port Adelaide Lion vs Croydon Kings analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
38.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Adelaide Lion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
WAD
1 - 4
PAL
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 55 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 1
ADE
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
NEM
4 - 2
PAL
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
PAR
52%
21%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
WAD
3 - 0
PAL
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 59 | 38 | -1 |
Matches
Croydon Kings
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 1
ADE
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 1
CRO
29%
21%
50%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CRO
1 - 0
CUM
70%
16%
13%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
WES
0 - 1
CRO
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 5
WAD
8%
16%
76%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | +1 |