Porrera vs Morell B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+97%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LAE
1 - 4
POR
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
POR
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
POR
3 - 1
RCB
56%
19%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MIA
0 - 0
POR
45%
21%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
MON
40%
21%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Morell B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MRL
2 - 0
MIA
48%
21%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MRL
4 - 1
MON
50%
19%
31%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
HOS
3 - 1
MRL
49%
21%
30%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MRL
2 - 3
SCA
60%
19%
21%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAM
3 - 2
MRL
25%
21%
53%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |