FA Trophy 1/256
Global 5-1
Poole Town vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poole Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
POO
2 - 1
BRI
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
POO
3 - 1
BEA
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BEA
0 - 0
POO
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
POO
1 - 0
PAU
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
YAT
1 - 3
POO
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
BAS
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 5
BAR
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
CHE
3 - 0
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
BED
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
GOS
0 - 0
BAS
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |