Pontypridd United vs Trefelin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 1
PON
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
PON
27%
26%
48%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
PON
3 - 0
AAF
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BDG
2 - 2
PON
25%
24%
50%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
PON
12%
17%
71%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
AAF
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 2
CON
10%
17%
73%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 0
TRE
48%
23%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
GOY
1 - 3
TRE
38%
23%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
TRE
5 - 2
CAM
34%
24%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |