Pontypridd United vs Trefelin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PON
4 - 1
LLA
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
RIS
0 - 1
PON
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
POR
0 - 2
PON
5%
11%
84%
|
45 | 11 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
TAF
1 - 3
PON
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
UND
2 - 2
PON
16%
18%
66%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 0
TAF
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 1
LLA
53%
20%
27%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
RIS
0 - 2
TRE
30%
21%
49%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
UND
1 - 2
TRE
28%
21%
52%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 1
TRE
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |