Pontypridd United vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
12º
10º
62
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 0
PON
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 4
PON
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
PON
1 - 2
NEW
35%
25%
41%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PON
3 - 2
FLI
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 2
PON
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
TNS
6 - 2
CON
66%
20%
15%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
70%
17%
13%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
SWI
3 - 2
TNS
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
TNS
1 - 1
SWI
52%
21%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
TNS
0 - 2
HÄC
34%
22%
44%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |