Pontypridd United vs Penydarren BGC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PON
5 - 1
UND
79%
13%
9%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
PON
3 - 0
CWM
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PON
8 - 0
POR
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
0 - 4
PON
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
PON
2 - 1
RIS
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Penydarren BGC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
CWM
50%
21%
30%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BAN
7 - 0
PEN
92%
6%
2%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
PON
1 - 2
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
LLA
0 - 4
PEN
22%
20%
58%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
STM
12%
18%
71%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +4 |