Pontypridd United vs Penydarren BGC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
PON
3 - 1
HAV
32%
22%
46%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PAA
1 - 3
PON
8%
14%
78%
|
46 | 15 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
PON
2 - 1
CAM
62%
20%
17%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
PON
68%
18%
13%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
PON
3 - 0
TAF
60%
21%
20%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Penydarren BGC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
LLA
0 - 4
PEN
22%
20%
58%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
STM
12%
18%
71%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +4 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 3
PEN
73%
16%
12%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +2 |