Pontypridd United vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 2
PON
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
PON
2 - 1
TAF
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
PON
1 - 4
HAV
17%
20%
63%
|
20 | 58 | 38 | +28 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
PON
0 - 3
CRO
33%
23%
44%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
PON
0 - 1
PON
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
GOY
34%
22%
44%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
GAR
3 - 3
PEN
33%
22%
46%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 3
TON
55%
20%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 4
HAV
42%
23%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 1
PEN
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |