Pontypridd United vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
12º
10º
28
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3% | 38% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97% | 62% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TNS
4 - 0
PON
81%
13%
7%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
PON
0 - 1
NEW
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 0
PON
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
PON
37%
24%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
BAL
25%
26%
50%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HAV
3 - 0
ABE
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
HAV
58%
23%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HAV
1 - 3
CON
25%
27%
47%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TNS
5 - 1
HAV
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 4
NEW
33%
26%
42%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |