Pontypridd United vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
50.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
9º
12º
11º
27
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
PON
0 - 1
PEN
16%
24%
61%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
4 - 2
PON
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
PON
0 - 1
CAR
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
PON
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
RTW
3 - 4
PON
22%
21%
57%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
HAV
3 - 1
ABE
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
HAV
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 0
HAV
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
HAV
2 - 1
PEN
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 2
HAV
29%
23%
48%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |