Pontypridd United vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
2º
1º
44
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
38 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
44 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 13 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 12 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
2 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ABE
3 - 3
PON
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PON
4 - 0
AIR
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FLI
4 - 1
PON
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
PON
83%
12%
6%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
PON
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HAV
3 - 1
FLI
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 0
HAV
50%
24%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 1
CON
25%
28%
47%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TNS
3 - 1
HAV
76%
15%
10%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 1
PON
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |