Pontypridd United vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
49%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
12º
10º
47
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
PON
40%
25%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
PON
6 - 0
ABB
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 20 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PON
2 - 0
HAV
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TNS
4 - 0
PON
81%
13%
7%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
PON
0 - 1
NEW
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CON
1 - 1
BAL
51%
25%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CON
4 - 1
CAE
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
19%
25%
56%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CON
4 - 2
PEN
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
CON
2 - 1
COL
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |