Pontypridd United vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
47.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
9º
12º
11º
44
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AIR
0 - 4
PON
56%
21%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 0
PON
78%
15%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
PON
1 - 4
NEW
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CTF
1 - 2
PON
5%
12%
84%
|
50 | 16 | 34 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PON
3 - 1
CAE
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
CON
3 - 1
NEW
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
CON
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
RTW
83%
13%
4%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 5
CON
10%
18%
72%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |