Pontypridd United vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
49.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
12º
10º
34
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PON
0 - 3
CON
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
PON
40%
25%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
PON
6 - 0
ABB
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 20 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PON
2 - 0
HAV
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TNS
4 - 0
PON
81%
13%
7%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
5 - 1
CAR
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 0
CWM
45%
23%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAR
68%
20%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 2
CAR
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |