Pontypridd United vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
9º
12º
11º
41
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
PON
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
RTW
3 - 4
PON
22%
21%
57%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PON
0 - 5
CON
24%
28%
48%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AIR
0 - 4
PON
56%
21%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 0
PON
78%
15%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TNS
4 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 3
CAE
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |