Pontypridd United vs Cardiff Draconians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
PON
0 - 0
CWM
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
PON
1 - 0
CWM
23%
20%
57%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
PON
1 - 1
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
PON
1 - 3
LLA
30%
23%
47%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
TRE
4 - 0
PON
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff Draconians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
YAF
4 - 1
DRA
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
GOY
1 - 0
DRA
80%
12%
8%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
STJ
0 - 3
DRA
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
AAF
4 - 1
DRA
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
DRA
1 - 2
TON
7%
12%
82%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | 0 |