Pontypridd United vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BRI
5 - 2
PON
68%
18%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
PON
0 - 3
LID
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
BRY
3 - 1
PON
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
ABE
3 - 0
PON
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
PON
0 - 0
CAM
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 2
PON
58%
23%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
QPA
2 - 0
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 0
TON
29%
25%
45%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
BRI
1 - 2
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |