Pontypridd United vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
MAE
0 - 2
PON
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
PON
0 - 0
TON
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
PON
4 - 2
BRY
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
DIN
1 - 1
PON
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 2
PON
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
TON
4 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
NWP
2 - 0
CAR
49%
24%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 0
CAR
43%
24%
34%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
BRI
40%
25%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2006 |
MAE
1 - 2
CAR
68%
19%
12%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |