Pontypridd United vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
GOY
3 - 3
PON
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
PON
1 - 3
CAM
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 3
PON
13%
22%
65%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 1
PON
22%
21%
57%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
PON
3 - 2
LID
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
NWC
85%
10%
6%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
TAF
0 - 3
CAE
32%
23%
45%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 2
CAR
44%
23%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GOY
3 - 2
CAE
45%
22%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 0
CAE
25%
22%
53%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |