Pontypridd United vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
PON
6 - 0
TAF
72%
15%
13%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
PON
6 - 1
CWM
60%
19%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
PON
2 - 2
CAM
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 2
PON
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
HAV
3 - 2
PON
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CAE
0 - 2
AAF
20%
19%
61%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
TAF
0 - 3
CAE
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
STM
2 - 1
CAE
89%
8%
4%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 1
STM
7%
13%
80%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
LID
2 - 1
CAE
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |