Pontypridd United vs Baglan Dragons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
PON
0 - 2
NWC
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
CAM
3 - 3
PON
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
PON
3 - 0
TAF
80%
13%
6%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PON
4 - 2
TRE
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 1
PON
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BDG
2 - 1
CAE
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
CAM
0 - 0
BDG
62%
21%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 0
BDG
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 2
TRE
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BDG
0 - 0
LLA
38%
25%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |