Pontypridd United vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
3º
3º
27
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 12 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 12 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
PON
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
PON
0 - 1
HAV
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PON
1 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 1
PON
64%
21%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PON
4 - 0
COL
48%
24%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 3
PEN
22%
25%
52%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
COL
1 - 2
ABE
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 0
ABE
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 1
BAR
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
ABE
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |