Pontypridd United vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
9º
12º
11º
22
4º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 0
PON
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PON
0 - 1
FLI
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PON
2 - 0
CAR
48%
22%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
PON
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
CAM
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 4
CAR
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 2
ABE
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
LLA
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
MER
89%
8%
3%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |