Pontypridd United vs Abertillery Bluebirds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PON
2 - 0
HAV
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TNS
4 - 0
PON
81%
13%
7%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
PON
0 - 1
NEW
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 0
PON
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
PON
37%
24%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ABB
1 - 4
CWM
11%
15%
74%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BDG
1 - 1
ABB
47%
21%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ABB
1 - 0
LLA
9%
14%
76%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | +4 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ABB
1 - 1
CAE
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ABB
2 - 2
PON
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +1 |