Pontivy vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
9º
21
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ERG
2 - 1
PON
31%
23%
47%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PON
2 - 2
LOR
11%
20%
69%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SAI
2 - 1
PON
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PON
2 - 1
LAN
34%
25%
42%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
STA
3 - 2
PON
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 1
VAN
38%
22%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
USF
3 - 2
PLA
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 0
PLA
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 2
ERG
77%
13%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 2
PLA
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +2 |