Pontivy vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
11º
10º
27
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
20% | 80% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 1
PON
72%
17%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PON
1 - 3
USF
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PON
1 - 2
DIN
24%
25%
51%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SPM
2 - 0
PON
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PON
3 - 0
CES
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 1
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 1
GRE
8%
18%
74%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
7 - 2
PLA
14%
19%
67%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -3 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 0
VAN
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
4 - 0
PLA
35%
26%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |