Pontivy vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
68.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
9º
49
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 70.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SAI
2 - 1
PON
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PON
2 - 1
LAN
34%
25%
42%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
STA
3 - 2
PON
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PON
2 - 2
SPM
26%
22%
52%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 0
PON
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 2
VAN
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
USF
2 - 1
LOR
11%
20%
69%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 2
PLA
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ERG
1 - 3
LOR
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 1
LOR
21%
23%
55%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |