Pontivy vs FC Flérien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
25%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
9º
29
7º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 85% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
2 - 1
PON
45%
23%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
PON
1 - 2
USF
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
PLA
0 - 2
PON
29%
23%
48%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
PON
0 - 1
ERG
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
LOR
1 - 3
PON
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
FC Flérien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FLE
3 - 0
LAN
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 2
FLE
69%
16%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
FLE
0 - 2
STA
27%
25%
48%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
USF
1 - 0
FLE
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
FLE
1 - 1
SPM
26%
25%
50%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +1 |