Pontivy vs OC Cesson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
9º
34
6º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AFV
1 - 0
PON
67%
20%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 2
PON
41%
23%
37%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
PON
1 - 2
VAN
31%
24%
46%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
USF
1 - 5
PON
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PON
3 - 0
PLA
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
OC Cesson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
USF
1 - 3
CES
49%
21%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CES
3 - 0
PLA
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
TOU
3 - 0
CES
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ERG
2 - 1
CES
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CES
2 - 2
LAT
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |