Pontivy vs Stade Brestois II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
11º
10º
26
4º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
20% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SBR
0 - 0
PON
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PON
3 - 1
LOC
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
5 - 1
PON
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
DOL
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LAT
3 - 1
PON
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Brestois II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 3
DIN
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SPM
3 - 1
BRE
68%
18%
15%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 0
CES
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
BRE
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 1
USF
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |