Pontirolese vs Vertovese analysis


12	ELO	26
0.6%	Tilt	-0.3%
26478º	General ELO ranking	26471º
773º	Country ELO ranking	766º
ELO win probability

13.5%

Pontirolese

18.8%

Draw

67.7%

Vertovese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

13.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%

18.8%

Draw

0-0

4.7%

1-1

8.9%

2-2

4.2%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

18.8%

67.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%