Pontefract Collieries vs Workington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
52%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
COL
6 - 2
PON
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
PON
1 - 1
MAR
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
RAM
3 - 0
PON
70%
16%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
TAD
3 - 0
PON
27%
21%
52%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
UNM
6 - 2
PON
59%
19%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
WOR
2 - 0
MOS
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
COL
0 - 1
WOR
34%
24%
41%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
WOR
5 - 2
CIT
82%
12%
6%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
WOR
2 - 2
TRA
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
KEN
0 - 0
WOR
9%
16%
75%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | -1 |