Pontedera vs Voluntas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
PON
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PON
1 - 0
ORV
65%
22%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 0
PON
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
TOD
0 - 3
PON
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PON
1 - 0
CAS
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 1
SPO
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 0
ASD
44%
25%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ARZ
4 - 0
VOL
82%
13%
5%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 2
VOL
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 2
ORV
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |