Pontedera vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ASL
1 - 2
PON
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PON
2 - 2
SIE
15%
24%
61%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
PON
1 - 1
ARZ
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LRO
2 - 5
PON
21%
25%
53%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PON
6 - 0
RIM
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ANC
0 - 2
SAN
67%
21%
13%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
LAQ
1 - 1
SAN
44%
30%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
TER
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASL
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SAV
2 - 1
SAN
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |