Pontedera vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
USA
1 - 1
PON
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
PON
0 - 2
PIS
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
PIS
0 - 1
PON
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CUN
0 - 2
PON
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
PON
0 - 0
NOV
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ASL
2 - 2
ASA
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
PIA
1 - 0
ASL
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
ASL
1 - 1
LEO
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 2
ASL
68%
20%
11%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ASL
1 - 1
OLB
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |