Pontedera vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
47.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
PON
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
PON
2 - 1
ORV
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
SGP
0 - 3
PON
18%
23%
59%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PON
1 - 0
APC
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
RIE
2 - 1
PON
48%
26%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ASL
2 - 0
MAS
79%
15%
7%
|
59 | 24 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GSA
1 - 3
ASL
25%
28%
47%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
ASL
1 - 0
ASS
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ASC
1 - 4
ASL
17%
26%
57%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ASL
3 - 1
ACS
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |