Pontedera vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
69.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 0
PON
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
PON
2 - 1
NOC
29%
27%
45%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FRO
5 - 0
PON
73%
18%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PON
2 - 2
ACP
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
PIS
1 - 2
PON
72%
19%
10%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
GRO
2 - 1
LEC
29%
23%
48%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LEC
3 - 0
FCV
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ASC
2 - 5
LEC
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASG
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PAG
0 - 1
LEC
9%
20%
72%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |