Pontedera vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
REG
2 - 0
PON
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
PON
2 - 0
CES
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
PIS
0 - 1
PON
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ASL
1 - 2
PON
43%
27%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
PON
0 - 0
ASG
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
ANC
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ASL
0 - 0
FER
54%
26%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
FER
48%
27%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
PES
15%
24%
62%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
SIE
2 - 0
FER
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |