Pontedera vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
APR
1 - 3
PON
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PON
1 - 0
BOR
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PON
2 - 2
SAL
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 3
PON
20%
23%
57%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PON
0 - 0
USP
60%
22%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 0
SAL
11%
20%
69%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ASM
51%
25%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 0
ARZ
54%
23%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FON
1 - 1
ASM
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 0
RAA
56%
24%
20%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |