Pontedera vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
GER
3 - 1
PON
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
PON
3 - 2
ACP
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
PON
3 - 2
ASL
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
USA
5 - 1
PON
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PON
1 - 1
VIT
39%
26%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ARZ
1 - 2
SIE
26%
26%
49%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
ARZ
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ARZ
30%
28%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
GER
3 - 2
ARZ
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ARZ
0 - 1
PIA
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |