Pontedera vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SPA
6 - 0
PON
82%
13%
5%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
EMP
3 - 0
PON
88%
9%
3%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ABN
1 - 0
PON
44%
28%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
PON
5 - 1
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
PON
2 - 2
LEO
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
CES
1 - 2
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 0
MAN
89%
8%
3%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CES
2 - 1
MAN
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 1
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 1
VIS
63%
21%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |