Ponte Ourense vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
PON
3 - 2
CER
51%
25%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
OGR
4 - 0
PON
16%
23%
61%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
PON
1 - 0
POR
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
XOV
0 - 0
PON
37%
28%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
PON
3 - 1
SAN
79%
13%
7%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CEL
3 - 0
OGR
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
POR
0 - 1
CEL
44%
27%
29%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
CEL
2 - 0
XOV
63%
22%
15%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
GON
1 - 0
CEL
52%
26%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
BET
1 - 1
CEL
44%
27%
29%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |