Ourense CF vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
68.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
RSO
2 - 1
OUR
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
OUR
0 - 0
SES
45%
28%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ZAM
1 - 1
OUR
49%
28%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
OUR
1 - 0
DEP
12%
18%
70%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
OUR
2 - 1
PON
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
GIR
3 - 0
VAD
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
VAD
1 - 0
VCF
30%
26%
45%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
UDL
2 - 1
VAD
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
AVI
2 - 4
VAD
4%
12%
85%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
VAD
0 - 5
ATM
12%
21%
67%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |