Ourense CF vs Sporting Celanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BBT
0 - 2
OUR
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
OUR
3 - 0
COR
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PSC
0 - 1
OUR
45%
23%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
OUR
1 - 0
RUA
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
OUR
0 - 2
AVI
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 5
AVI
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ANT
0 - 1
SPO
41%
24%
36%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
VAL
56%
22%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
COV
2 - 6
SPO
23%
23%
54%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
4 - 2
ALL
34%
24%
43%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |