Ourense CF vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
ARN
0 - 3
OUR
19%
23%
59%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
RCV
0 - 1
OUR
36%
26%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
OUR
1 - 1
ARZ
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
OUR
0 - 0
BOU
42%
26%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
EST
0 - 1
OUR
34%
26%
41%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 1
POL
20%
23%
58%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NOI
3 - 0
CHO
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 1
RCV
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BOU
0 - 0
CHO
66%
20%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 4
EST
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |