Ourense CF vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
44.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BOI
2 - 1
OUR
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
OUR
1 - 2
BAR
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
POR
2 - 2
OUR
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
RCF
1 - 0
OUR
85%
10%
4%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
OUR
0 - 1
ARO
31%
26%
44%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 1
SOM
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
RIB
2 - 1
CHO
32%
25%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CHO
5 - 2
RCV
32%
26%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 0
CHO
26%
25%
49%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARE
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |