Ourense CF vs Barco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
OUR
1 - 0
DEP
55%
24%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
OUR
1 - 0
RCV
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 1
OUR
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
OUR
1 - 0
EST
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 2
OUR
18%
24%
58%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
SOM
2 - 3
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 0
ARN
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ARZ
1 - 0
BAR
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
SOM
38%
25%
36%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ALO
2 - 1
BAR
32%
26%
42%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |