Ourense CF vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
OUR
0 - 2
DEP
20%
24%
56%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
OSA
1 - 1
OUR
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
OUR
0 - 3
SDA
42%
28%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
TAR
4 - 0
OUR
36%
31%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
OUR
1 - 0
CUL
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
ATH
1 - 0
MIR
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
ATH
2 - 3
CUL
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
ATH
4 - 2
RUN
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
CEL
2 - 1
ATH
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ATH
0 - 1
UNI
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |